Michael Covel's Trend Following presents a systematic approach to investing that relies on identifying and riding price trends rather than predicting market directions. Covel argues that a disciplined trend-following strategy, which avoids traditional forecasting, can yield robust returns across varying market conditions, including crises and unpredictable "black swan" events. This edition expands on prior versions by including interviews with successful trend-following traders and data-backed evidence showing the historical success of trend following.
A Review of The Psychology of Money by Morgan Housel
Michael Covel’s Trend Following explores the systematic strategy of capturing long-term price trends to achieve success across various market environments. Covel reveals how disciplined investment portfolio managers and traders focus on actual price movement rather than predictions, making the strategy adaptable and effective in up or down markets. With historical examples, including the successes of the Turtle Traders and figures like Ed Seykota, Covel demonstrates that trend-following relies on straightforward principles, such as identifying trends, controlling risk, and maintaining emotional discipline. A trend-following approach can result in asymmetric investment returns by aligning with market trends and capturing gains while managing risk effectively.