Author: Mike Shell
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Is market timing [short-term trading back and forth among asset classes] really a good idea?
In October 2004, Jason Zweig interviewed Peter Bernstein for MONEY Magazine. The title was Peter Bernstein interview: He may know more about investing than anyone alive. Peter L. Bernstein was an early pioneer of tactical asset allocation… Read More
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The new normal is a roller coaster of one bubble bursting after another.
Neural networks are computer systems inspired by an animals’ central nervous system that is capable of machine learning and pattern recognition. Neural networks can be very powerful systems for identifying and classification of things. If… Read More
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Global Macro: Russia was already a bear market
On Monday, the Russia stock market, as measured by the MSCI Russia Capped Index, declined over -8% with the headlines filled with news about their military actions. Based on that index of stocks, the Russian… Read More
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Global Macro: Heavy Losses in Russia
Looking around the globe, the downward drift seems to be in Russia today. Egypt is a close second. data source: http://www.etf.com Read More
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Adapting to Change… and Volatility
High relative strength stocks have always had the potential to gap down just as they may gap up. High momentum is sometimes joined by high volatility. I have observed several changes in trend behavior and… Read More
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Outcome bias
The outcome bias is an error made in evaluating the quality of a decision when the outcome of that decision is already known. Outcome bias is the tendency to judge a decision based on the… Read More
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How do I qualify?
Someone passed along one of those passionate political videos with a thought-provoking title, so I watched. It started out with You want to see something really disturbing? Go to any search engine and type in… Read More
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Trajectory and Directional Price Trends
Thinking about the meaning of trajectory and how it relates to directional price trends. A trajectory is the path followed by a projectile flying or an object moving under the action of given forces. For… Read More