Author: Mike Shell
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Asymmetric Sector Exposure in Stock Indexes
When you look at the table below and see the sector exposure percents, what do you observe? Do these allocations make sense? That is the sector exposure of the S&P 500 stock index: I used… Read More
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US Government Bonds Rise on Fed Rate Outlook?
I saw the following headline this morning: US Government Bonds Rise on Fed Rate Outlook Wall Street Journal – “U.S. government bonds strengthened on Monday after posing the biggest price rally in more than three months… Read More
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Dazed and Confused?
Many investors must be dazed and confused by the global markets reaction to the Fed. I’m guessing most people would expect if the Fed signaled they are closer to a rate hike the stock and… Read More
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Trends, Countertrends, in the U.S. Dollar, Gold, Currencies
Trend is a direction that something is moving, developing, evolving, or changing. A trend is a directional drift, one way or another. When I speak of price trends, the directional drift of a price trend… Read More
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Fed Decision and Market Reaction: Stocks and Bonds
So, I’m guessing most people would expect if the Fed signaled they are closer to a rate hike the stock and bond markets would fall. Rising interest rates typically drive down stocks along with bonds.… Read More
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A One-Chart Preview of Today’s Fed Decision: This is what economists are expecting
I can’t image what it must be like sitting around watching and reading the news trying to figure out what the Fed is going to do next. Even if they could know, they still don’t… Read More
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Bear Markets Happen
WSJ has a nice chart of “Bear Markets” as defined as -20% drops in the Dow Jones Industrial Average. Click to enlarge. Source: http://www.wsj.com/articles/how-to-prepare-for-a-bear-market-in-stocks-1425870192 Read More
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Diversification Alone is No Longer Sufficient to Temper Risk…
That was the lesson you learned the last time stocks became overvalued and the stock market entered into a bear market. In a Kiplinger article by Fred W. Frailey interviewed Mohamed El-Erian, the PIMCO’s boss,… Read More
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Illusion of Control
“The illusion of control is the tendency for people to overestimate their ability to control events; for example, it occurs when someone feels a sense of control over outcomes that they demonstrably do not influence.”… Read More