Category: Absolute vs. Relatative Return
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Commodities are trending with better momentum than stocks
Commodities are trending with better momentum than stocks over the past year. A commodity is a raw material or primary agricultural product that can be bought and sold, such as copper or coffee. A commodity is a basic… Read More
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Growth Stocks have Stronger Momentum than Value in 2018
After a sharp decline in stock prices in February that seemed to shock many investors who had become complacent, the stock market indexes have been trying to recover. At this point, the popular S&P 500… Read More
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February Global Market Trends
After a very positive January for U.S. and international stocks, in February it only took 10 days for the S&P 500 to decline -12% intraday and a -10% drawdown based on closing price. Yet, February… Read More
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Stock market indexes lost some buying enthusiasm for the day
Buying enthusiasm reversed from positive to selling pressure today after the first hour. I observed notable selling volume at the close, which was the opposite of what I pointed out last Thursday.The S&P 500 Stock… Read More
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Warren Buffett’s Berkshire Hathaway Hasn’t Managed Downside Risk
Stephen Gandel shares an interesting observation in Fortune ” Warren Buffett’s Berkshire lost $11 billion in market selloff“. He points out that Buffett’s Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.A or BRK.B) is tracking the U.S. stock indexes on the downside. He says:… Read More
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A Random Walker on Stock and Bond Valuation
Burton Malkiel is a passive buy and hold investor who believes markets are random. To believe markets are random is to believe there are no directional trends, or high or low valuations. He is the… Read More
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Allocation to Stocks and Bonds is Unlikely to Give us What We Want
That was the lesson you learned the last time stocks became overvalued and the stock market entered into a bear market. I believe holding and re-balancing markets doesn’t give us the risk-adjusted returns we want.… Read More
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On Actively Managing Risk… and Persistence
Source: https://image-store.slidesharecdn.com/c3d3d5ae-e2eb-4e80-9d4c-88e2344b5572-original.jpeg I just keep doing what I do… Read More
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My 2 Cents on the Dollar
The U.S. Dollar ($USD) has gained about 20% in less than a year. We observe it first in the weekly below. The U.S. Dollar is a significant driver of returns of other markets. For example,… Read More