Category: Asymmetric Uncertainty
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We’ll see a pause in reopening as hospitalizations trend up
Unfortunately, we’ll see a pause in reopening as hospitalizations trend up. Hospitalizations have much further to rise, but they shouldn’t increase as much as cases. I just got an updated data feed for today. Florida… Read More
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Quantitative Technical Analysis of the Coronavirus COVID – 19 Trend
My expertise is the quantitative and technical analysis of trends, momentum, countertrends, and volatility as well as tactical risk management and hedging. As the investment manager of ASYMMETRY® Global Tactical and ASYMMETRY® Managed Portfolios, professionally,… Read More
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Authorities should use data science tools to be precise in QUARANTINE mandates
As I was writing this follow up to the Kinsa data US Health Weather Map, my conclusion is it seems Authorities should use all the data science they can to be as precise as possible… Read More
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Good news for the stock market
Something we have warned about for a while now is the elevated valuation level of stocks in general. To be sure, I search for “Shiller PE” here on ASYMMETRY® Observations to mention the most recent… Read More
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Coronavirus: Preparing for the worst and hoping for the best
I’m not a Physician, I am a mathematician, so I deal with trends, velocity, momentum, exponentials, and differentials. People tend to underreact to initial changes in new information and then overreact after they realize they… Read More
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Profiting from the Madness of Crowds
If we want to profit from the madness of crowds, we necessarily need to believe and do different things than the crowd at the extremes. You may have heard the stock market was down a… Read More
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Coronavirus quick take and useful resources to track COVID-19
The Coronavirus outbreak is the current headline scare. I focus on data, data mining, analyzing trends, momentum (rate of change), and volatility. I like my information succinct and factual, so when I look at Coronavirus… Read More