Category: Asymmetric Risk Reward
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ASYMMETRY® Observations from Last Week
The original ASYMMETRY® Observations are now published at ASYMMETRY® Observations on the Shell Capital Management, LLC website. Here are last week’s: Asymmetry vs. Velocity in Gold and Silver January 27, 2026 Gold and silver are expressing very… Read More
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Asymmetric Risk/Reward is More Than Just Buying Undervalued Stocks
Many investors believe they are pursuing asymmetric opportunities when they buy stocks they think are undervalued or have more upside than downside. But true asymmetry isn’t just about perceived valuation gaps—it’s about structuring risk in… Read More
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From an investor sentiment perspective, is this what 2017 felt like? (before the crash in 2018)
Someone asked, “From a sentiment perspective, is this what 2017 felt like?” My observation: https://shell-capital.com/asymmetric-investment-returns/tennessee-investment-advisor-investor-sentiment Read More
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Bridgewater Co-CIO: The Market is Very Asymmetric Right Now
Bridgewater Associates, Inc.Co-CIO Karen Karniol-Tambour joins Positive Sum CEO Patrick O’Shaughnessy at the 2023 Sohn Investment Conference. Below is the interview she says the market is very asymmetric right now because of the asymmetry between… Read More
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Investing in stocks involves risks you must be willing to bear, or actively manage and hedge
It is widely accepted that a portfolio diversified across a number of stocks will provide an inherent return over time, that buying and holding stocks for the long term is virtuous and pragmatic, and that… Read More
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The stock market trend is being tested
The stock market is now reaching its first short-term higher probability of a countertrend pullback. The S&P 500 stock index tapped its 200-day average and reached a short-term overbought level based on relative strength and… Read More
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The stock market is at an inflection point
The S&P 500 is stalling as if there is resistance at this price level, and there’s a lot of potential supply for those in a loss trap. It’s also getting overbought as measured by the… Read More
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Every new price trend begins with a countertrend
Every new price trend begins with a countertrend, and that’s true for uptrends that roll over into downtrends and downtrends that reverse into uptrends, so trend following starts with a countertrend. Technology-weighted Nasdaq 100 changed… Read More
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After Selling Pressure Drives Stock Price Trends to a Low Enough Level, We’ll See Sentiment Shift
Once the stock market catches a break and trends up enough, we’ll probably see short covering keep it going for a while. The percent of stocks trading above their 50 and 200 day averages is… Read More