Category: Behavior Finance
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Purpose is a more powerful motivator than money.
“Purpose is a more powerful motivator than money. When you are not paid as much as you would like, your purpose will provide you a reason to continue producing excellence in your work. When you… Read More
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Technical analysis is the analysis of human mass psychology, so it’s also called behavioral finance
What is technical analysis? Technical analysis is the study of financial market action. The technician looks at price changes that occur on a day-to-day or week-to-week basis or over any other constant time period displayed… Read More
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Here is how you will get exactly what you want
We tend to find information that confirms our existing beliefs. We’re seeing it more than ever, if we pay attention and recognize it. If you feel we should stay on lock down and maintain the… Read More
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You probably want to sell stocks, now
On January 11, I shared an observation “You probably want to invest in stocks” The great thing about sharing written observations is the ability to go back and read what was going on in the past… Read More
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Panic selling drove a waterfall decline and washout for the stock market
Growing up in East Tennessee and the Great Smoky Mountains, I observed a lot of waterfalls. Wiki says a fall of water is an area where water flows over a vertical drop or a series… Read More
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Self-discipline, Panic Selling, and the Cycle of Emotions
At the moment, the popular US stock market indexes are down over 25% from their years year-to-date. Looking at the Cycle of Market Emotions, where do you think we are at this moment? The magnitude… Read More
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Wrong narrative? Feeling the Bern of socialism may have been even scarier
Yesterday, after the “emergency” interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve, the US stock market trended down to close -2.8%. Top news headlines looked like this: They were rather alarming, the largest since the financial crisis,… Read More
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Investor sentiment and feelings can be data-driven, quantitative, applying the scientific method, supported by a mathematical basis for feeling and believing
Individual investors are notably less bearish now, according to the AAII Sentiment Survey. US Investor Sentiment, % Bearish is an indicator that is a part of the AAII Sentiment Survey. It indicates the percentage of… Read More
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Global Macro: My favorite economic chart, consumer sentiment, and debt
People typically share their opinions based on their own personal observations of what they see and hear going on around them. What we believe is always true, for us. An advantage of a quant, or… Read More
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Employment, Coronavirus, it’s just the market, doing what it does…
It seems most people probably believe the news drives the stock market. I can see why, since the news headlines want to tell a story. We like a great story. We want to hear the… Read More