Category: ETF Strategist
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Global Stock and Bond Market Trends 2Q 2018
Yesterday we shared the 2nd Quarter 2018 Global Investment Markets Review, which used a broad range of indexes on performance tables to present the year-to-date progress of world markets. The issue with a table that simply… Read More
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2nd Quarter 2018 Global Investment Markets Review
It is no surprise to see global equity markets stall after such a positive trend last year. As we will see, the weakness is global and across both bonds and stocks. Before we review the… Read More
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The week in review
In case you missed it, below are all of the observations we shared this week. When there are more directional trend changes and volatility, I find more asymmetries to write about. That’s because I look… Read More
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Is it a stock pickers market?
Sometimes the stock market is trending so strongly that the rising tide lifts all boats. No matter what stocks or stock fund you invest in, it goes up. That was the case much of 2017.… Read More
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Commodities are trending with better momentum than stocks
Commodities are trending with better momentum than stocks over the past year. A commodity is a raw material or primary agricultural product that can be bought and sold, such as copper or coffee. A commodity is a basic… Read More
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Sector ETF Changes: Indexes aren’t so passive
Index funds and ETFs are often called “passive”, but in reality, they aren’t. Indexes change as their committees add and remove stocks or bonds from them. Though we generally know the exposure we can expect… Read More
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Expected Volatility Stays Elevated in 2018
In late 2017, implied volatility, as measured by the VIX CBOE Volatility Index, was at abnormally low levels. I pointed out many times that vol is mean reverting, so when expected volatility is extremely low… Read More
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Interest Rate Trend and Rate Sensitive Sector Stocks
The interest rate on the 10 Year Treasury has gained over 20% so far in 2018, but I noticed it’s more recently settled down a little. One of my ASYMMETRY® systems generated a short-term momentum… Read More
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Investment management can take many years of cycles and regimes to understand an edge.
It takes at minimum a full market cycle including both bull/bear markets to declare an edge in an investment management track record. But we also have different regimes. For example, each bull market can be different as… Read More
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February Global Market Trends
After a very positive January for U.S. and international stocks, in February it only took 10 days for the S&P 500 to decline -12% intraday and a -10% drawdown based on closing price. Yet, February… Read More