Category: Independent Thinking
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Trend following applied to stocks
A stock must be in a positive trend to earn a huge gain… A stock must be in a downtrend to produce a large loss… The common factor? the direction of the trend… That’s what… Read More
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Happy Birthday, America!
242 years ago, the British told Americans to put down their guns. How did that work out? Happy Birthday, America! Please enjoy your freedom and have a happy 4th of July #IndependenceDay Read More
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Is the economy, stupid?
Many investment professionals admit they are unable to “time the market.” What is “market timing,” anyway? Wikipedia says: Market timing is the strategy of making buy or sell decisions of financial assets (often stocks) by attempting to… Read More
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What’s going to happen next?
S&P 500 has declined to the 200-day moving average. I don’t trade the moving average, but include it as a reference for the chart. More importantly, the stock index is also near its low in… Read More
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The enthusiasm to sell overwhelmed the desire to buy March 19, 2018
The enthusiasm to sell overwhelmed the desire to buy. The S&P 500 stock index closed down -1.42% today. Stocks trended down most of the day and at 2:35pm it was down -2%. As you can… Read More
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My Introduction to Trend Following
I have noticed more investors are talking about “trend following” these days and more traders and advisors are calling themselves trend followers. As a professional portfolio manager who has been applying trend systems to global… Read More
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Asymmetric force was with the buyers
In Asymmetric force direction and size determines a trend, I explained how the net force of all the forces acting on a trend is the force that determines the direction. The force must be asymmetric… Read More
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Asymmetric force direction and size determines trend
In physical science, force is used to describe the motion of a push or pull. Newton’s first law of motion – sometimes referred to as the law of inertia. Newton’s first law of motion is stated as: “An object at rest stays… Read More
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In remembrance of euphoria: Whatever happened to Stuart and Mr. P?
I have recently found myself reminiscing about the late 1990’s – specifically the grand euphoric year of 1999. If you aren’t sure why then maybe you aren’t paying attention. Sometimes not paying attention is a… Read More
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All Eyes are Now on the Potential Government Shutdown
If the U. S. Government shuts down, it will be the 19th time. Looking at the table below, it doesn’t seem a big deal. The table shows the 18 prior government shutdowns going back to… Read More