Category: interest rates
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Following the Trend of Inflation and Risk of Bonds
In How We’ll Know if a Recession is Imminent I said if the 10-2 Year Treasury Yield Spread crosses below zero, and the yield curve becomes inverted, that’s what will signal a recession is probably imminent,… Read More
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The 2 Year U.S. Treasury trends to uncharted territory and you better git your mind right
The 2 Year U.S. Treasury has never been this low before. 2 Year Treasury Rate is at 0.13%, compared to 0.17% the previous market day and 2.30% last year. This is lower than the long… Read More
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The Fed did what?
At 10 AM yesterday morning, the Fed cut rates. The actual statement is worth reading. March 03, 2020 Federal Reserve issues FOMC statement For release at 10:00 a.m. EST The fundamentals of the U.S. economy… Read More
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The Fed is at QE again
The US Federal Reserve has been boosting liquidity supposedly since mid-September since a spike in the overnight lending rate shocked the financial system when the short-term rate spiked to 10% from 2% overnight in mid-September.… Read More
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What could go wrong
Investors, including millionaires and fund managers, are really bullish. According to E-Trade Financial: “In Q4 of last year, even as stocks gained, millionaires were cautious and possibly worried about a repeat of the plunge in… Read More
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The Trend in Interest Rates and the Impact on the Economy and Stock Market
The Federal Reserve raised interest rates and raised expectations for a fourth rate hike in December. The Fed unanimously agreed to raise the federal funds rate a quarter percentage point, to a range of 2% to 2.25%. But, what… Read More
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Rising Interest Rate Impact on Real Estate and Home Construction
The Federal Reserve raised interest rates today and raised expectations for a fourth rate hike in December. They unanimously agreed to raise the federal funds rate a quarter percentage point, to a range of 2% to 2.25%.… Read More