Category: Probability
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Uncharted Territory
Uncharted Territory is trending on @Twitter as the government shutdown becomes the longest in U.S. history. Everything about the future is always uncharted territory. Uncharted is unexplored or unknown. To chart is to map, so uncharted… Read More
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The Death Cross on the S&P 500
I wonder when we’ll start hearing about the death cross again like we did in 2016. The S&P 500 Equal Weight signaled a death cross today. As with any trend following signal or any signal… Read More
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Using the Month of September to Understand Probability and Expectation
September is the month when the U.S. stock market’s three most popular indexes usually perform the poorest. So say the headlines every September. I first wrote this in September 2013 after many commentators had published information about… Read More