Category: ASYMMETRY® Observations

I know many fundamental analysts expect energy prices to fall after the Trump election, but we focus on the trend, momentum, and volatility to analyze its asymmetric risk-reward. This chart of the Energy Select Sector… Read More

This chart of the Health Care Select Sector Index (SIXV) includes a linear regression channel, RSI, and ATR percentage indicators, providing insights into its trend, momentum, and volatility to analyze its asymmetric risk/reward.  Linear Regression… Read More

Many fundamental analysts believe the election of Trump and the red wave is positive for financials because they expect less government regulation. Our focus is on trend direction, momentum, and volatility—what it’s actually doing.   This… Read More

This chart of the Technology Select Sector Index (SIXT) includes a linear regression channel, RSI, and ATR percentage indicators, providing insights into its trend, momentum, and volatility. SIXT is trending within an upward linear regression… Read More

In “We Will Soon Find Out,” Ray Dalio explores what he sees as a pivotal moment in the U.S.’s political and social trajectory, which he frames through his theory of the “Big Cycle.” According to… Read More

Understanding how presidential administrations influence economic indicators is key to assessing their impact on American prosperity and stability. The Trump vs. Biden-Harris chart from the Job Creators Network provided compares various economic metrics under the… Read More

The recent VIX term structure chart reveals intriguing insights into market sentiment around volatility heading into the 2024 U.S. election. Currently, we observe an initial drop in volatility expectations for December, followed by a steady… Read More

In 2024 U.S. corporate stock buybacks have reached unprecedented levels, making them an essential consideration for investment managers pursuing asymmetric returns. The latest insights from Goldman Sachs* reveal that buyback activity, led by U.S. corporates,… Read More

In  PIMCO’s “Ahead of the Curve” Investor Guide, the bond fund manager includes:  “The Active Advantage: Passive may make sense for equities, but bonds are different.” and goes on to say. “Bonds are different because… Read More

When a stock reaches an all-time high, there is no overhead resistance based on previous price levels because it hasn’t traded above that price before. However, there are several factors to consider regarding selling pressure… Read More