Category: Global Directional Trends
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Global Market Trends
Looking at broad indexes for global macro trends, global stocks are flat for the year, bonds are down as much as 6%, commodities are recently trending up. At this point, U.S. stocks continue to look… Read More
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Is this correction and volatility normal?
With perfect hindsight, we now all know that January 26th was the recent price peak in the U.S. stock market. Since then, the S&P 500 has declined about -10% and the Dow Jones Industrial Average… Read More
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What’s going to happen next? continued
The stock market is getting a lot of attention this past week since the global stock market indexes were down as much as -4% for the MSCI EAFE Developed Countries index to the most significant… Read More
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What’s going to happen next?
S&P 500 has declined to the 200-day moving average. I don’t trade the moving average, but include it as a reference for the chart. More importantly, the stock index is also near its low in… Read More
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Apparently there was more enthusiasm to sell
The U. S. stock market as measured by the S&P 500 declined -2.57%. The shorter-term investor sentiment measures suggest fear is driving the stock market. That may be a positive signal since investor sentiment gets it wrong… Read More
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The enthusiasm to sell overwhelmed the desire to buy March 19, 2018
The enthusiasm to sell overwhelmed the desire to buy. The S&P 500 stock index closed down -1.42% today. Stocks trended down most of the day and at 2:35pm it was down -2%. As you can… Read More
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My Introduction to Trend Following
I have noticed more investors are talking about “trend following” these days and more traders and advisors are calling themselves trend followers. As a professional portfolio manager who has been applying trend systems to global… Read More
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Asymmetric force was with the buyers
In Asymmetric force direction and size determines a trend, I explained how the net force of all the forces acting on a trend is the force that determines the direction. The force must be asymmetric… Read More
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Asymmetric force direction and size determines trend
In physical science, force is used to describe the motion of a push or pull. Newton’s first law of motion – sometimes referred to as the law of inertia. Newton’s first law of motion is stated as: “An object at rest stays… Read More
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Betting on price momentum
“Don’t fight the tape.” “Make the trend your friend.” “Cut your losses and let your winners run.” “These Wall Street maxims all mean the same thing—bet on price momentum. Of all the beliefs on Wall… Read More