Category: Global Directional Trends
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Divergence in Global Asset Allocation
We’ve observed divergence across global markets since September, so those invested in a static global asset allocation probably notice it the most. I focus my U.S. equity portfolio exposures more granularly into individual stocks and… Read More
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Stanley Druckenmiller on his use of Technical Analysis and Instinct
Stanley Druckenmiller has a 30-year track record that is considered “unrivaled” by many. From 1988 to 2000, Druckenmiller was a portfolio manager for George Soros as the lead portfolio manager for Quantum Fund. He founded Duquesne Capital… Read More
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The Trend in Interest Rates and the Impact on the Economy and Stock Market
The Federal Reserve raised interest rates and raised expectations for a fourth rate hike in December. The Fed unanimously agreed to raise the federal funds rate a quarter percentage point, to a range of 2% to 2.25%. But, what… Read More
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Rising Interest Rate Impact on Real Estate and Home Construction
The Federal Reserve raised interest rates today and raised expectations for a fourth rate hike in December. They unanimously agreed to raise the federal funds rate a quarter percentage point, to a range of 2% to 2.25%.… Read More
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VIX level shows market’s expectation of future volatility
Volatility is a measure of the frequency and magnitude of price swings up and down in a market or stock over a period of time. Lower volatility is when prices are calmer and don’t swing up and… Read More
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What trends are driving emerging markets into a bear market?
In Emerging Markets Reached a Bear Market Level we noted the emerging markets index has declined -20%, which is considered to be in bear market territory. The emerging markets index includes 24 countries classified as emerging countries. To… Read More
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Emerging Markets Reached a Bear Market Level, or is it a Continuation of a Secular Bear Market?
An emerging market is a country that has some characteristics of a developed market but does not satisfy standards to be termed a developed market. The MSCI Emerging Markets Index covers more than 800 securities… Read More
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The U.S. stock market was strong in August, but…
August was a strong month for the U.S. stock market, but the broad S&P 500 stock index and leading sectors have reached short-term overbought extremes that often indicate short-term elevated risk. My focus is to… Read More
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Global Market Trends, U.S. Dollar, Emerging Markets, Commodities, and Their Changing Correlations
One of the more interesting global macro market trends right now is the direction of the U.S. Dollar and its impact on other markets. The chart below is the U.S. Dollar trend year-to-date vs. the… Read More
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Global Market ETF Trends
Looking at the broad global markets, U.S. stocks are in a positive trend along with the U.S. Dollar. International stocks, commodities, and foreign currency are trending down. With the directional trends and momentum being in… Read More