Category: Global Directional Trends
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The normal noise of the market?
We shouldn’t be surprised to see stock prices pull back closer to their average true range in the days ahead. Such a pullback or stall would be normal. Below I highlight the strong momentum Technology… Read More
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What has changed? Global trends, volatility expansion and contraction, plus some rising interest rates
My focus is: What has changed? if I see no change in the direction of the trend of volatility, then we just go with the flow. Realized (historical) and implied volatility (VIX) has settled down… Read More
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Welcome to March! A review of global asset allocation and global markets
In the first two months of 2019 global asset allocation has gained 4% to 8.6%. I use the iShares Core Global Allocation ETFs as a proxy instead of indexes since the ETFs are real world performance including… Read More
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Strong stock market momentum was accompanied by broad participation
Not only has the broad stock market indexes like the S&P 500 advanced sharply with great momentum since late December 2018, but its breadth has also been impressive. The percent of stocks trading above their… Read More
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U.S. Stock Market Update
Last week in What’s going to happen next for the U.S. stock market? I shared an observation the U.S. stock index had reached a point I expect to see at least a stall. So far, that’s mostly… Read More
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To Know Where You’re Going, Look at Where You’ve Been: The 2018 Year in Review
I write my observations of trends and market conditions every day, though I only share some of them on ASYMMETRY® Observations. The advantage of writing observations as we see them is we can go back… Read More
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An exhaustive stock market analysis… continued
I guess An exhaustive analysis of the U.S. stock market wasn’t exhaustive enough, because I now have a few things to add. First, since the financial news media, as well as social media like Twitter, is so bearish… Read More
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An exhaustive analysis of the U.S. stock market
It’s a big task for me to use the word exhaustive when it comes to stock market analysis. Exhaustive is examining, including, or considering all elements or aspects; fully comprehensive. There is no way to… Read More
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The stock market has reached a short-term extreme as investor sentiment indicates fear
After prices have fallen, I start looking for signs of a potential countertrend and divergence. “Be fearful when others are greedy and greedy when others are fearful.” – Warren Buffett If you want to be like Warren Buffett, you’re probably enjoying… Read More