Category: Investor Sentiment
Investor Sentiment is about investor behavior and their oscillation between fear and greed.
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Here is how you will get exactly what you want
We tend to find information that confirms our existing beliefs. We’re seeing it more than ever, if we pay attention and recognize it. If you feel we should stay on lock down and maintain the… Read More
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Volatility contraction, sentiment shifts, and most are participating in the uptrend
On February 6th, I shared and observation in “19 is the new 20, but is this a new low volatility regime?” the lower level of implied (expected) volatility at the time may be driven by two… Read More
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Most people get it wrong at extremes
Irving Fisher was probably considered, by some, to be one of the smarter people of his time. Fisher was an American economist, statistician, inventor, and Progressive social campaigner. But, even with all his schooling at… Read More
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You probably want to sell stocks, now
On January 11, I shared an observation “You probably want to invest in stocks” The great thing about sharing written observations is the ability to go back and read what was going on in the past… Read More
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Self-discipline, Panic Selling, and the Cycle of Emotions
At the moment, the popular US stock market indexes are down over 25% from their years year-to-date. Looking at the Cycle of Market Emotions, where do you think we are at this moment? The magnitude… Read More
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Wrong narrative? Feeling the Bern of socialism may have been even scarier
Yesterday, after the “emergency” interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve, the US stock market trended down to close -2.8%. Top news headlines looked like this: They were rather alarming, the largest since the financial crisis,… Read More
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Permabear delight
I love music, so it plays in the background in my office, instead of financial news. Sure, I have Bloomberg playing on a TV, but with the volume down. I rarely turn it up, unless… Read More
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Investor sentiment and feelings can be data-driven, quantitative, applying the scientific method, supported by a mathematical basis for feeling and believing
Individual investors are notably less bearish now, according to the AAII Sentiment Survey. US Investor Sentiment, % Bearish is an indicator that is a part of the AAII Sentiment Survey. It indicates the percentage of… Read More
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Global Macro: My favorite economic chart, consumer sentiment, and debt
People typically share their opinions based on their own personal observations of what they see and hear going on around them. What we believe is always true, for us. An advantage of a quant, or… Read More
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Investor sentiment shifts
We’ve seen a notable shift in investor sentiment. AAII Sentiment Survey: Pessimism surged to its highest level in more than three months, while optimism plunged. Plus, this week’s special question asked AAII members to share… Read More