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ASYMMETRY® Observations are Mike Shell’s observations of all things asymmetry, asymmetric risk/reward, asymmetric payoffs, and asymmetric investment returns.

A Volatility Expansion for the Record Book Thumbnail

A Volatility Expansion for the Record Book

An asymmetric hedge structures an investment hedge to offset risk in other holdings with an asymmetric payoff such that the potential profit from the hedge is materially greater than the amount of risk taken to achieve it.

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Why Size Doesn’t Guarantee Survival: Understanding the Lifecycle of Large Companies in a Disruptive Market Thumbnail

Why Size Doesn’t Guarantee Survival: Understanding the Lifecycle of Large Companies in a Disruptive Market

The longevity of large, established companies can often be overestimated due to a natural lifecycle many organizations follow, similar to the product lifecycle. Large companies that have enjoyed decades of success and market dominance can become more vulnerable as they grow because of inertia, structural complexity, and resistance to change—factors that can make them slow to adapt to evolving technologies, market demands, or shifts in consumer behavior.

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Fed Policy is Contributing to a Surge in Debt Payments Thumbnail

Fed Policy is Contributing to a Surge in Debt Payments

With the Fed holding rates at 23-year highs as part of its restrictive policy stance, the US Treasury has had to issue more debt to fund government expenditures. The higher the US’s coupon payments become, the greater barrier it presents to economic growth and stimulating government spending.

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How is the Scientific Method used for Investment Management? Thumbnail

How is the Scientific Method used for Investment Management?

The scientific method is a systematic process used to gather knowledge and test hypotheses through observation, experimentation, and analysis. In investment portfolio management, the scientific method can be applied to improve decision-making, manage risk, and enhance returns.

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