As you evaluate your investment strategy, keep in mind the importance of adaptability and informed decision-making. The bond market holds substantial potential, and with the right approach, you can enhance your portfolio's resilience and performance in the months ahead.

After a central bank increases interest rates the economy often enters a recession in the years that follow. Historically bonds have performed well whether a recession occurs or not.

Navigating volatility through the lens of the VIX and SPX options presents tactical investment managers with unique opportunities. By understanding the asymmetries in risk and reward, traders can position themselves to capitalize on volatility while effectively managing downside risks. Continuous monitoring of market conditions and adaptability in strategy will enhance the ability to thrive in volatility-driven environments.

Tactical investment managers should be mindful of how these shifts in unemployment rates can impact various sectors. Historically, lower interest rates can lead to increased market activity, particularly in interest-sensitive areas such as real estate and consumer discretionary spending.

The relationship between the VIX and SPX options is a cornerstone of effective risk management in trading and investment. By understanding this dynamic, traders can better anticipate market movements, implement strategic hedging techniques, and optimize their portfolios for changing volatility conditions. Monitoring market indicators and employing various trading strategies based on this relationship can significantly enhance your risk management practices.

For asymmetric investment returns, when examining the yields on the long end of the yield curve, it's essential to consider three critical factors: growth expectations, inflation expectations, and term premium. Each of these elements plays a significant role in determining the equilibrium yield for long-term bonds.

Despite the Federal Reserve (Fed) lowering interest rates, the ICE US Treasury 20+ Year Index has declined -7.2% from its recent peak a few weeks ago.

Today, the VIX futures term structure offers some intriguing signals, particularly with its current shape and slope. Let’s dive into what the term structure is telling us and what it might mean for traders and investors.

What the Fear & Greed Index is Telling Us Today—and How It Can Be Used for Tactical Trading and Risk Management

As Hurricane Milton approaches Tampa Bay, it’s crucial to break free from the false belief that long stretches without an event mean safety. While it’s comforting to think that the past protects us, probability tells a different story. Each year carries its own risk, and the fact that Tampa Bay hasn’t had a direct hit in over a century doesn’t mean one isn’t coming.