Category: Asymmetric Investment Returns
Asymmetric Investment Returns is a risk and reward profile with more upside profit than downside risk or loss.
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What I learned about Semper Fi from former Tennessee Coach Phillip Fulmer
It may seem odd to hear a U.S. Marines Veteran who never played football under Phil Fulmer say he learned something about the Marine Corps motto “Semper Fi” from the old Tennessee coach. Afterall, Semper… Read More
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What is going on? 3rd Quarter Market Trends and Mean Reversion
The third quarter is now in the past, so I’ll share a few observations of what is going on. First, below is the S&P 500 stock index over the past quarter. For observation purposes, if… Read More
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A few observations on Global Macro and Trend Following
A few observations on #GlobalMacro and #TrendFollowing As I see it, trend following can be global macro and global macro can be trend following. I call my primary strategy “global tactical,” which is an unconstrained,… Read More
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Welcome to March! A review of global asset allocation and global markets
In the first two months of 2019 global asset allocation has gained 4% to 8.6%. I use the iShares Core Global Allocation ETFs as a proxy instead of indexes since the ETFs are real world performance including… Read More
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Asymmetry in the CBOE Index Put/Call Ratio suggests hedging
I pointed out yesterday the Stock market internals are signaling an inflection point. On a short term basis, some internal indicators are suggesting the stock market is at a point I expect to see a more significant breakout… Read More
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Stock market internals are signaling an inflection point
Indicators of the internal strength of the market measure the breadth of the market trend using the number of individual stocks participating in a move. On December 24, 2018, I shared my observation in An exhaustive stock… Read More
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Feeling and Doing the Right Thing at the Right Time
Last week I shared the observation that VIX Implied Volatility is Settling Down. The VIX Index is a measure of the market’s expectation of future volatility, so the market is pricing in less volatility from here. However,… Read More
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If fund flow doesn’t show up in price, does it really matter?
“If a tree falls in a forest and no one is around to hear it, does it make a sound?” It’s a philosophical thought experiment that raises questions about perception and observation. Is sound only… Read More
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Investor Sentiment into the New Year 2019
Investor sentiment measures may be used as contrarian indicators. We expect the market to do the opposite of what the indicators are saying when they reach an extreme level of bullish/greed/optimism or bearish/fear/pessimism. Identifying extreme… Read More
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To Know Where You’re Going, Look at Where You’ve Been: The 2018 Year in Review
I write my observations of trends and market conditions every day, though I only share some of them on ASYMMETRY® Observations. The advantage of writing observations as we see them is we can go back… Read More