Category: ASYMMETRY® Observations
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Is Luck a Big Factor in Success?
The role of luck in success is a subject of considerable debate among scholars, entrepreneurs, and investors. While success is often attributed to hard work, talent, and perseverance, there is growing recognition of the role… Read More
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From a sentiment perspective, is this what 2017 felt like?
Someone asked, “From a sentiment perspective, is this what 2017 felt like?” The short answer is, no, it’s not even close, and that’s just from memory. The beauty of data analytics is we can look… Read More
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Periods of Low Volatility are Eventually Followed by Volatility Expansions
The S&P 500 index (the blue line), which represents the U.S. stock market, has maintained an upward trend that started last fall. However, the stock market has recently reached some relatively extreme quantitative measures of… Read More
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How to Think Critically
Developing critical thinking skills involves adopting a structured approach to evaluating and analyzing information, arguments, and situations. Here are some strategies to help you think critically: Ask Questions: Question assumptions, motives, evidence, and conclusions. Ask… Read More
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How Does Bridgewater, the World’s Largest Hedge Fund, Really Make Its Money?
How Does Bridgewater, the World’s Largest Hedge Fund, Really Make Money? From The New York Times, “How Does the World’s Largest Hedge Fund Really Make Its Money?” “Many of the rules dealt simply with trends.… Read More
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Stocks and Bonds Have Reached an Elevated Risk Level as Tomorrow Starts the First Day of the Seasonal Santa Claus Rally
When the wind is blowing, we can sit back and enjoy the ride, but when the wind stops blowing, we have a decision to make. We can sit there and hope the wind starts blowing… Read More
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Asymmetries in Information, Risk, and Payoff: Understanding Market Behavior and Decision-Making
Asymmetries drive everything. Whether in markets, negotiations, or daily decision-making, differences in information, risk exposure, and individual preferences shape behavior and outcomes. If we want to understand why people act the way they do, we… Read More
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Exotic Car Price Trends McLaren, Lamborghini, and Porsche
Using data from CarGurus we take a peak at price trends over the last few years of Exotic cars. McLaren prices peaked in July 2022. McLaren 720s prices are trending toward pre-vid. Porsche 911’s peaked… Read More
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What is Risk Mitigation?
Risk mitigation? What is risk mitigation? A key ingredient of Asymmetry® is in the directing, limiting, or controlling the possibility of loss or the magnitude of a potential loss. Risk mitigation refers to the process… Read More
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What is Convexity?
Convexity is a concept that originates from mathematics and is widely used in various fields, including finance, optimization, and geometry. In the context of mathematics, a set is considered convex if, for any two points… Read More

