Category: ASYMMETRY® Observations
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Zooming in on the stock market
The U. S. stock market has trended down as expected after tapping its 200-day moving average. I shared this observation last week on Twitter: And today, it looks like we have an answer from the… Read More
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Can You Take Advantage of a Net Unrealized Appreciation (NUA) Strategy?
Many companies offer employer-issued stock as a benefit, in addition to other compensation and benefits. But what happens if you leave a job that offered you employer-issued stock or if you experience another triggering life… Read More
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The Stock Market is Entering an Elevated Risk Level
At its lowest point so far on October 12th, the S&P 500 stock index was down -25% for the year in 2022. Since October 12th, the stock index has gained 10%, which is common in… Read More
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Stock Market Volatility Remains Elevated
Volatility measures the frequency and magnitude of price movements, both up and down, that a financial instrument experiences over a certain period of time. The more dramatic the price swings in that instrument, the higher… Read More
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U.S. Sector Trend, Momentum, and Breadth Through October 2022
I want to preface this sector trends update with how we use it. We sometimes trade exchange-traded funds (ETFs) that aim to track an index, but we also have our own proprietary indices applying our ASYMMETRY® methodology,… Read More
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Stock Market Trend Following and Momentum October 2022
It was a big week for the U.S. stock market with a strong countertrend cycle swing to the upside, but the primary trend remains down, or does it? S&P 500 closed above the 50-day, now… Read More
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The stock market declined 25% in the first three quarters of 2022
The S&P 500 stock index ended the third quarter down -25% for the year and printed its worst performance through the first nine months of any year since 2002. Clearly, investing in stock market index… Read More
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ASYMMETRY® Artificial Intelligence
Artificial intelligence is being marketed as a crystal ball. That framing misses the point — and creates risk. Markets are not prediction problems. They are complex, adaptive systems driven by uncertainty, feedback loops, regime shifts,… Read More
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Buying Climax Signals a Top in the Stock Market
There was enough buying climaxes in stocks this week to signal a short-term top in the stock market. This week 596 stocks printed a buying climax, which is the most since Feb 2018. A buying… Read More
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Observations of the Unemployment Trend
The US Unemployment Rate measures the percentage of total employees in the United States that are a part of the labor force, but are without a job. It’s one of the most widely followed indicators… Read More

