Category: ASYMMETRY® Observations
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We Could Strangle the VIX
The Cboe VIX Strangle IndexSM (STRG) is inspired by the option strangle strategy. According to Cboe, the objective of a strangle is to capture the volatility premium inbedded in option prices, but with less… Read More
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Nothing Like a Price Trend to Change Investor Sentiment
The U.S. stock market has got off to a strong start for 2023, so far. Investor sentiment is trend following . Below is a chart template I call “Trend Following + Nothing”. It’s a simple… Read More
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China’s Balloon Looked Like Pre-Invasion Reconnaissance to Me
With all the news surrounding China lately, I encourage you to watch this video from Ray Dalio, co-founder of Bridgewater Associates, the largest hedge fund manager in the world. Ray recently retired from Bridgewater, and… Read More
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Trend Following Natural Gas and Heating Oil
Nat gas, short street name for Natural Gas, has crashed since December. S&P GSCI Natural Gas Index provides investors with a reliable and publicly available benchmark for investment performance in the natural gas market. The… Read More
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How is trend following with a stop loss optionality similar to a call option?
In What is Trend Following? , I said, Trend following is a directional trading strategy that uses price-based “technical” indicators to identify trends with the objective of gaining exposure to the direction of the price trend,… Read More
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What is Trend Following?
Someone on Twitter asked, “How do you define trend following?” My official answer: Trend following is a directional trading strategy that uses price-based “technical” indicators to identify trends with the objective to gain exposure to… Read More
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The Direction of the Stock Market Trend and its Potential to Strengthen
When I started testing and developing trading systems two decades ago, I didn’t approach it as the typical data-mining Quant, but instead as a trading practitioner. I was already a chartist and focused on directional… Read More
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The 10 Year US Treasury Interest Rate
There are a few key return drivers for stocks and bonds, and the level, rate of change, and direction of interest rates is one of them. Rising rates decrease the amount of money available, or… Read More
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This Measure of the Market’s Expectations for an Extreme Event, Tail Event, or Black Swan, Indicates Complacent Investors
As investment risk managers, measuring risk involves many dimensions of risk of loss. Volatility indexes, for example, provide us with valuable insight into investors’ expectations to big moves up or down. Nations TailDex® is at a… Read More
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Why Did VXX and VIXY Diverge in 2022?
Tactical traders and hedge fund managers seeking asymmetric hedging opportunities can use VXX and VIXY to capitalize on volatility spikes while maintaining limited downside risk. Since both ETFs track short-term VIX futures, they tend to… Read More

