Category: Asymmetric Risk Reward
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All investors are market timers
All investors are market timers. It isn’t just tactical traders. I’ve been hearing more about “market timing” recently from some investment advisors saying they aren’t market timers. But they are. We all are. And timing… Read More
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Global Asset Allocation hasn’t done any better
I’ve been hearing of how different active management strategies haven’t performed as well as the S&P 500 stock index the past five years. I can’t say it’s a big surprise since the SPX has been… Read More
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Charting and technical analysis of the stock market trend
I usually share more of my observations of the stock market trend when the shit hits the fan. The truth is, I enjoy volatility expansions more than the quiet, calm trends. There isn’t as much… Read More
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“THEY KNOW NOTHING!”
Today marks the 12 year anniversary of the Jim Cramer character on CBNC having his now-famous emotional breakdown on live TV. It’s worth listening to once a year to reflect on the extreme level of… Read More
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Is volatility setting up for an expansion?
I’m not going to be surprised if we see a VIX volatility expansion this week along with the range of stock prices spreading out. There are plenty of potential catalysts that could drive volatility and… Read More
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A few observations on Global Macro and Trend Following
A few observations on #GlobalMacro and #TrendFollowing As I see it, trend following can be global macro and global macro can be trend following. I call my primary strategy “global tactical,” which is an unconstrained,… Read More
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Logical Inconsistency?
One of the most widely quoted words of wisdom from legendary investor Warren Buffet is, “Rule No. 1: Never lose money. Rule No. 2: Don’t forget rule No.1.” But.. is it a logical inconsistency? Logical Insonconsinecy: When multiple statements are given… Read More
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The normal noise of the market?
We shouldn’t be surprised to see stock prices pull back closer to their average true range in the days ahead. Such a pullback or stall would be normal. Below I highlight the strong momentum Technology… Read More
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Going with the flow
We can’t stop the current or the obstacles, but we can train, prepare, and manage the risks for protection and then go with the flow. I focus on the things I can control, then enjoy… Read More