Category: Asymmetric Risk Reward
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FAANG Stocks and Momentum Trends
Markets trend in cycles and trends come and go like seasons from spring to summer to fall to winter. I like to observe a range of price trends and behavioral trends from short term to… Read More
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A Tale of Three Vols
I know, you’re thinking this is about the Tennessee Vols. Nope. Different vol. I’m not talking about Tennessee Volunteers, I’m talking about the volatility of the stock market. Someone asked: “With the S&P 500 is up 3.43%… Read More
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Investor Sentiment into the New Year 2019
Investor sentiment measures may be used as contrarian indicators. We expect the market to do the opposite of what the indicators are saying when they reach an extreme level of bullish/greed/optimism or bearish/fear/pessimism. Identifying extreme… Read More
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To Know Where You’re Going, Look at Where You’ve Been: The 2018 Year in Review
I write my observations of trends and market conditions every day, though I only share some of them on ASYMMETRY® Observations. The advantage of writing observations as we see them is we can go back… Read More
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An exhaustive stock market analysis… continued
I guess An exhaustive analysis of the U.S. stock market wasn’t exhaustive enough, because I now have a few things to add. First, since the financial news media, as well as social media like Twitter, is so bearish… Read More
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An exhaustive analysis of the U.S. stock market
It’s a big task for me to use the word exhaustive when it comes to stock market analysis. Exhaustive is examining, including, or considering all elements or aspects; fully comprehensive. There is no way to… Read More
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What’s going to happen next for the stock market?
The popular stock indexes are now down about -5% year to date. The popular stock indexes are now about -13% off their highs. I don’t normally include the NASDAQ since it’s so overweight the Technology… Read More
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The Death Cross on the S&P 500
I wonder when we’ll start hearing about the death cross again like we did in 2016. The S&P 500 Equal Weight signaled a death cross today. As with any trend following signal or any signal… Read More
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Will the stock market hold the line?
The popular U.S. stock market indexes almost formed a potential inverse head and shoulders reversal pattern, however, the right side was met with selling pressure that exceeded enthusiasm to buy. For those who care to… Read More
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Pattern Recognition: Is the S&P 500 Forming a Head and Shoulders Bottom?
I don’t always share when I observe stock market patterns unfold, but when I do, it’s usually to inform (or aggravate) my friends who don’t understand (or want to understand) technical analysis. Long before I… Read More