
Relative Momentum of Mega Cap Tech Stocks Needs to Fade to Bring Them Back to Historical Valuations
Elite Eight stocks (META, AMZN, NFLX, MSFT, AAPL, GOOGL, NVDA, TSLA) now make up 28.4% of the S&P 500 market cap
Asymmetric Investment Returns is a blog authored by Mike Shell since 2006, covering topics about asymmetric investing and trading for asymmetric risk/reward in pursuit of asymmetry.
Elite Eight stocks (META, AMZN, NFLX, MSFT, AAPL, GOOGL, NVDA, TSLA) now make up 28.4% of the S&P 500 market cap
While the options market expects lower volatility over the next 30 days, active risk managers and tactical investment managers pursuing risk-adjusted asymmetric investment returns may be inclined to hedge off exposure while protection is a better deal.
RSI can be informative in sideways, non-trending market states; it changes to a breakout momentum indicator in trending markets.
Only time will tell if the Call Wall, expirations, and long-vol positioning today has more impact or if there's enough momentum to drive it higher, but we'll be watching to see how it all unfolds.
Mega-cap tech ( AAPL MSFT AMZN GOOGL META ) market share of the S&P 500 is now 22%, but this chart from Goldman Sachs suggests the top 4 stocks in 2000 showed us market leadership is difficult to maintain...
Mega-cap tech ( $AAPL $MSFT $AMZN $GOOGL $META ) outperformance and earnings growth show that mega-cap tech has outperformed the S&P 500 by 28pp in 2023.