Where are we in the Economic Cycle?
Decomposing the economic cycle into four stages, we are in the slowdown phase, just before recession.
Asymmetric Investment Returns is a blog authored by Mike Shell since 2006, covering topics about asymmetric investing and trading for asymmetric risk/reward in pursuit of asymmetry.
Decomposing the economic cycle into four stages, we are in the slowdown phase, just before recession.
How did the stock market perform during the 2011 debt ceiling crisis? the S&P 500 fell 17% during the 2011 debt ceiling crisis.
How does the stock market perform after Fed interest rate hike cycles? The last seven times the Fed increased interest rates, the average gain was 16% twelve months later. It's a small sample size.
Sometimes the markets tell us how to invest our money for asymmetric investment returns.
The regional bank sector breaching below the lower channel of three standard deviations suggests the the downtrend in regional banks are an outlier.
Investor Sentiment: The Market Climbs a Wall of Worry