Interpreting the VIX Term Structure: What the Market is Saying About Volatility and the 2024 Election
The recent VIX term structure chart reveals interesting insights into market sentiment around volatility heading into the 2024 U.S. election. Currently, we observe an initial drop in volatility expectations for December, followed by a steady rise through mid-2025. This structure suggests that while traders anticipate relatively calm conditions immediately surrounding the election, they expect volatility to pick up significantly afterward.